Review of A Different Take On Our Technical Times...by Allan Branch
There is a time honored aphorism in marketing. It goes, “Everyone
is lining up to be second,” and this wonderful little book by Nels Winkless
goes on to explain why. 300 plus pages, at once entertaining and informative,
like all of Winkess’s books, of the most amazing collection of tales, vignettes,
anecdotes, and personal experiences, as only someone whose life has been
at the coalface of technological innovation could write.
That quote is not the whole summary of marketing. All markets consist
of two types of products: “me toos” and “new categories.” The later becomes
the former if it is successful. Which is almost never. This is the basis of the so
called “Pyramid Marketing Model”, which Winkless describes as trying “to
develop a critical mass.” As he points out, “Good ideas are a dime a dozen,
[those that] succeed in society are not as common.”
His humor and deprecation can easily disguise how valuable this memoir
can be for any marketer, business person, company founder or inventor. It should
be required reading, along with “Future Shock”, “The New New Thing”, “The
Soul in the Machine”, or “The Tipping Point.” This is a book you cannot put
down.
Nels’ knowledge and hands-on experience is vast, and his intelligent
mind races at the speed of thought (!), so it would be easy to become lost in
his enormous repertoire, moving with ease from computers (his forté and his
passion), to atomic bombs to water toxicity testing, to cancer tests, to robot
eggs. But that never happens. He avoids this through clever analogies, like the
influence of JIT manufacturing being to computer productivity as single floor
factories were to the industrial revolution. Similarly he shows how avoiding
lunch with Quist can ruin your oil interests, and how similar Martians are to
conquistadors.
It is hard sometimes to determine if Winkless is an advocate of
technology or a soothsayer of doom. He is certainly a patriotic American. He
says, “We have influence over what happens, never control,” and points out
the danger of complacency. Methinks he is frustrated with the waste and
slippage and inefficiency of technological revolutions. He wants more of what
he calls the “accidents”. He laments that humans don’t learn from their lessons,
they “are hard to teach.”
His exploration of the dangers of knowing too much is interesting and
relevant today, where we are encouraged to monitor each other in case the
other is “different”, (he even discusses federal examinations of patents in case
you invented something too big for you). Morwell indeed.
After describing childhood and early life experiences from Hollywood
and movies, to Stanford and particle accelerators, to New Mexico and
microcomputers, to Boston and trade magazines, parts of which have the feel
of Oliver Sachs, Winkless gets to the heart of the problem with new technology commercialization, including his take on investment finance; the personalities of
the players; communicating the message, particularly the benefits, clearly; and
the difference between a raw technology and its applications, an Altair versus an
Osborne for example.
The book is full of examples of the “lining up to be second” maxim:
heterodyning, listening, fish toxicity testing, modulated ultrasound bacteriology,
noninert inert gasses, but nothing comes as close as the background of the personal
computer revolution, and one cannot help but think that being second might be a
euphemism for stealing.
After identifying several technologies and ideas yet to have someone come
in to succeed at being second, like artificial intelligence, robotics, Nels summarizes
with the personal hurt associated with change, which after all is what this is all about.
Typically, he draws on yet another technology, the biochemistry of memory, to
strengthen his point.
Do yourself a favor and read this hugely informative and entertaining book
Copyright © 2009
Allan Branch.
Australia, June 2009
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NOTE: Allan Branch is a consultant, entrepreneur, and robotics expert of
distinction. See his bio at: http://www.southcom.com.au/~robot/acb.html